Odds of all the rares.

#1
These are the odds of all the rare's.
The odds posted at around 1/104-110 chance of getting it.
This does not mean you will get a super rare every 105-110 crates.
 

Lost

Well-Known Member
#2
These are the odds of all the rare's.
The odds posted at around 1/104-110 chance of getting it.
This does not mean you will get a super rare every 105-110 crates.
What?

It's 1/11 for a rare, or 1/55 for each individual and 1/100 for a super rare, or 1/400 individually.
 
#4
lost i just went of the boxes used ratio, remember none of us should know what the ratio is either way. So what you and me are saying is invalid.
 

Lost

Well-Known Member
#5
lost i just went of the boxes used ratio, remember none of us should know what the ratio is either way. So what you and me are saying is invalid.
I beliebe Amy confirmed a while ago that Super rares are 1 percent, Rares are 9 percent and Common items are 90 percent. Which would mean my ratios are on point.
 

Whispered

Well-Known Member
#6
I beliebe Amy confirmed a while ago that Super rares are 1 percent, Rares are 9 percent and Common items are 90 percent. Which would mean my ratios are on point.
You're both right.

Lost is using theoretical or long-run probability based on the actual numbers.

carley55 is using Actual or Observed probability based on the actual numbers.
 
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